Posted by Ray Haynes at 12:00 am on Aug 17, 2008 1 Comment
No-I’m not talking about any member of the Legislature.
I’m talking about inside information about what is happening on the
budget. I had a conversation with one capitol insider who
told me the budget will be adopted with a tax increase. So I
called around to see what others thought. The general
consensus was that wouldn’t happen.
The basic reason–the Governor needs 9 Assembly Republicans to
vote for the budget. Three Assembly Democrats, Parra,
Calderon, and Soto,aren’t voting for the budget (Parra and
Calderon won’t and Soto is ill and can’t). That means 9
Assembly Republicans have to put up yes votes. However, 31 of
the 32 Republican members of the Assembly have signed no new taxes
pledges and won their primaries because they signed those pledges,
that means at least 8 Republicans would have tobreak their
promises to theirvoters in order for this budget to pass with
tax increases. I’m betting that doesn’t happen, for several
reasons.
(1)Most Assembly members believe they have
apolitical career after the Assembly. As my earlier
post showed, any Republican who votes for a tax… Read More