Election 2014: Lessons from the districts that changed parties
This morning I’ll address conservative legislators from across America at the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC) States and Nation Policy Summit in Washington DC. My topic: the 2014 election results and lessons for the future. Since it’s a national group, I’ll focus on the big picture. Yet, there are very important lessons to be learned from what happened in California. Let’s take a look.
Even in a strong “wave” election year like 2014, the wave itself is not the dominant force in driving outcomes.
For all of the “major” changes resulting from the wave, the strongest force on Election Day was that of incumbency. The vast majority of elected officials who sought re-election, of either party, won.
Looking nationally, even with a strong pro-Republican wave, the total number of Democrat governors defeated on Election Day was exactly…one: Democrat Pat Quinn of Illinois. Meanwhile, eight Democrat governors were re-elected. The remaining three governor seats Republicans picked up were races where no incumbent appeared on the ballot: Arkansas, Maryland and Massachusetts.
In California state elections,… Read More