Get free daily email updates

Syndicate this site - RSS

Recent Posts

Blogger Menu

Click here to blog

FlashReport Weblog on California Politics

- Or -
Search blog archive

Jennifer Nelson

Izumi on PC textbooks

Last week, the Press-Enterprise ran a special section on education. I didn’t see it at the time, but my good friend and occasional FR contributor Lance Izumi just forwarded his contribution to the special section. Izumi is director of education studies at the Pacific Research Institute in San Francisco. Here’s an excerpt of his op-ed, along with a link so FR readers can read the entire piece.

Political correctness distorts too many California textbooks

By LANCE T. IZUMI

When "Tonight Show" host Jay Leno asks young people… Read More

Brandon Powers

Tim Clark Heads Poizner Transition

Insurance Commish-elect Steve Poizner has tapped GOP Consultant Tim Clark to head his Transition Team. Tim, who was Steve’s Campaign Manager, is sure to find Steve the best possible people who share Steve’s vision to staff the IC’s office.

For anyone interested, Steve’s website has already gone to Transition-mode, complete with ways to share ideas for the IC’s office and to submit resumes for job-seekers.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Garcia seals the deal! Status Quo in Sacramento.

Republican Assemblywoman Bonnie Garcia will be returning for a third term in the California State Legislature. Hers was the final legislative race in the state where the outcome was not considered official. Yesterday, enough of the remaining absentee ballots were counted in Riverside County to give Garcia an unbeatable lead — and her opponent, former Assemblyman Steve Clute, conceded the race. Congratulations Bonnie! You can be sure that Clute’s near-victory will mean he will try another crack at the apple in 2008 when Garcia will be precluded from a re-election run due to term limits.

Not one seat in the legislature changed partisan hands in the 2008 election cycle. It is a win for Democrats who control the status quo, and a win of sorts for legislative Republicans who staved off the ‘blue tide’ that crossed the country.

When you win a narrow race, you can look to just about every facet of your campaign and say that each part ‘made the difference’ in winning — but there is no doubt that one of the groups that played a major role in Garcia’s victory was the California College Republicans. Their Chairman,… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Garcia seals the deal! Status Quo in Sacramento.

Republican Assemblywoman Bonnie Garcia will be returning for a third term in the California State Legislature. Hers was the final legislative race in the state where the outcome was not considered official. Yesterday, enough of the remaining absentee ballots were counted in Riverside County to give Garcia an unbeatable lead — and her opponent, former Assemblyman Steve Clute, conceded the race. Congratulations Bonnie! You can be sure that Clute’s near-victory will mean he will try another crack at the apple in 2008 when Garcia will be precluded from a re-election run due to term limits.

Not one seat in the legislature changed partisan hands in the 2008 election cycle. It is a win for Democrats who control the status quo, and a win of sorts for legislative Republicans who staved off the ‘blue tide’ that crossed the country.

When you win a narrow race, you can look to just about every facet of your campaign and say that each part ‘made the difference’ in winning — but there is no doubt that one of the groups that played a major role in Garcia’s victory was the California College Republicans. Their Chairman,… Read More

Duane Dichiara

Winners & Losers

In the time honored post-election tradition, here are San Diego’s big winners and losers from the election (with absentee and provisional ballots still to count). For every winner, there is usually a loser, but I’ve tried to distinguish between which is which. I know its been two weeks since the election, but I got violently ill right after (the most vile flu you could ever imagine) and am only just recovering.

WINNER – CONGRESSMAN BRIAN BILBRAY (CD50). Three weeks out public and private tracking polls had Brian Bilbray (disclosure Coronado Communications client) winning or losing within the margin of error, and national trends weren’t getting any better. Democrat Francine Busby had actually saved hundreds of thousands of dollars from her failed June campaign, and was therefore actually able to outspend Bilbray. However, Bilbray ran a disciplined campaign – and probably the strongest and most effective ground campaign in his history – and ended up 54% – 43%. Furthermore Bilbray made great strides in repairing his GOP base, which had been divided by the earlier primary campaigns. A primary challenge to Bilbray, always a… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Bonnie Garcia’s race is over – Clute goes down.

From FR reader James Sills:

Late last night the Riverside Registrar of Voters FINALLY posted an add-on count of results. The new numbers show Bonnie Garcia has come from behind to beat Steve Clute in that county, reversing his earlier edge. Combined with Bonnie’s edge in Imperial, she’s now + 2,202 votes, district-wide.

Sounds to me like AD 80 goes to Garcia eliminating the only possible Dem pickup, and with the Dems preventing a GOP pickup in SD34, the partisan elections are over. Status quo in the State Legislature. Lots of new faces, but no new seats for either party. That said, the legislature is slightly less liberal with a small shift towards the center by Senate Democrats, and a heave-ho to the right for Assembly Republicans as all of the "open-primary babies" of 2000 term out.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Leonard: State GOP needs to look at what did and did not work in the V6 program to plan for future…

With a shout out to GOP Board of Equalization Member Bill Leonard’s blog, we ‘lift’ (with encouragement to check out his blog) the following posted by Leonard today, which is worth reading and thinking about…

A state Democrat blog last week had this headline: “CDP Field Operation Defeats $20 Million GOP Elephant.” Indeed, as the above results show, statewide Republican candidates did not fare well. Yet the CRP and the Governor had touted this year’s Victory ’06 effort as the end-all, be-all of voter identification and activation. I had been excited about it. I saw what microtargeting accomplished for the President in Ohio two years ago and was eager to replicate that success in California. That excitement faded as results were tallied.

Accusations have been flying that the CRP’s Victory ’06 was actually Arnold ’06, Period. I have heard that the CRP’s phone banks… Read More

Barry Jantz

Datamar: Election Results vs. the Pollsters

Datamar has released a report showing the actual election results in several categories up against the last polling done by some of the majors. Interesting compilation for those who like to study this stuff, chew it up, regurgitate it, and spew it out…and probably dream about it as well.

I asked Datamar’s Raul Furlong to comment on the results. Here’s what he had to say:

The election is over and the votes have all been counted — well almost all, and it is time to ask how the pollsters did in testing the voters mood.

Modern political polling has become a big part of candidate and initiative campaigns measuring the sense of the voters and tracking throughout campaigns whether certain ads or messages are working and whether the electorate is coming together in support of a measure, or a candidate, or turning away.

Datamar has been successful in measuring most races. Our polling is based on the concept of keying on high-propensity voters, that is, voters that have consistently voted in past elections, and we expect, will continue to vote in future elections. Past behavior is indicative of futureRead More