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Jon Fleischman

Status of the SD 19 Strickland/Jackson Race

I just got off of the phone with Tony Strickland. Needless to say, he is a bit anxious, as this race has ended up being not only the most expensive legislative contest this election cycle, but now it is the closest.

What’s the status of things? Well, FR readers probably know that this sprawling district is mostly in Ventura County, with a big portion of it also being in Santa Barbara County, and a sliver of it is in Los Angeles County.

Generally, Strickland performed better in Ventura County, and Jackson did better (by a slightly larger margin) in Santa Barbara County. In the tiny LA portion, which is up in the very conservative Santa Clarita area, Strickland performed much better.

**There is more – click the link**

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Matt Rexroad

Prop 8 — Interesting Post Election Spin

The people of California spoke clearly on Tuesday. They voted to define marriage as between one man and one woman for a second time. Prop 22 passed in 2000 and now Prop 8 has passed as well.

Multiple commentators that oppose Prop 8 have said that it is not over and that a vote of the people doesn’t matter when rights they consider as fundamental are in question. This is a logical legal argument.

If that is the case then Prop 8 didn’t matter. The existing law was and still is adequate to get them where they want to go in terms of public policy. So then why spend $30 million on Prop 8? If people really believed that then there was absolutely no reason to fight this measure. They should have taken the money spent on TV spots and spent it in legal fees to get to court and have Constitutional rights exercised.

The real story is that the law is not completely on their side. Prop 8 does matter and will shape this debate in a major way.

Further, the proponents of same-sex marriage now have the burden to pass a measure that allows same-sex marriage in our state. That is what they should have had to do in the first place.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Grover Norquist: Your Governor can beat up Sarah Palin, but Sarah Palin is smarter than your Governor

The following is a Guest Commentary just received from Grover Norquist, President of Americans for Tax Reform…

Your Governor can beat up Sarah Palin, but Sarah Palin is smarter than your Governor By Grover Norquist

Only 6 months into the new fiscal year, the Democrats in the California State legislature have spent $11 billion more next year than they had planned to take from taxpayers. This, Governor Schwarzenegger explains is our problem. We have failed to pony up the $11 billion.

In fact, this is the state legislature’s own problem. They are spending tooRead More

Jennifer Nelson

Local take on Obama’s COS pick

I know that this blog is generally supposed to focus on California politics but I wanted to pass along a column by John Kass, the right-of-center columnist for the Chicago Tribune. My mother grew up in Chicago and, for a time, I lived in Illinois and covered the statehouse for the Springfield Journal-Register. Chicago is my favorite city in the country, but there is no question that it is one of the most corrupt cities in the nation (althoughI won’t deny that it is cleaner, prettier and more pleasant to visit thanmost CA cities).Kass is constantly shining a light on the questionable ethics of Mayor Richard Daley, his family and other Chicago politicos. Here’s Kass’ take on President-elect Obama’s pick of Rahm Emanuel as his Chief of Staff: Emanuel pick shows change is a state of mind.

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Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Status of the SD 19 Strickland/Jackson Race

I just got off of the phone with Tony Strickland. Needless to say, he is a bit anxious, as this race has ended up being not only the most expensive legislative contest this election cycle, but now it is the closest.

What’s the status of things? Well, FR readers probably know that this sprawling district is mostly in Ventura County, with a big portion of it also being in Santa Barbara County, and a sliver of it is in Los Angeles County.

Generally, Strickland performed better in Ventura County, and Jackson did better (by a slightly larger margin) in Santa Barbara County. In the tiny LA portion, which is up in the very conservative Santa Clarita area, Strickland performed much better.

Today, most of the outstanding absentee ballots in Santa Barbara were counted. The effect of this was to leave Jackson with a roughly 250 vote lead over Strickland. Between remaining absentee ballots and provisional ballots, there are probably around 7,000 votes left to cast in Santa Barbara County.

In Ventura County, it sounds like there are probably somewhere around 50,000 ballots left to count, and it’s really hard to tell what is left in Los… Read More

Meredith Turney

McClintock Lead Increases

People all across California (and America) are anxious for information about the McClintock/Brown race. Today, Tom’s lead increased to 889 votes.

I spent the entire day at the Placer County Registrar of Voters, observing the ballot counting. It’s a slow, tedious process and can certainly be boring. But I will say that I’ve never been prouder of my local election officials. They take every precaution to ensure every vote is counted. Even in races that aren’t closely contested, each vote is considered extremely important. Until today, I had no idea that every absentee signature is scrutinized, the integrity of the ballots makes them untouchable by anyone other than a select few, and voter intent is paramount. Some voters are actually called if their signature is slightly off, or if there is any suspicion of fraud.

While I’m proud of my local elections officials, there are some in other areas that have been less impressive. I’ve heard some horror stories from other areas in the 4th CD—and in a close election like this one, tensions are high. As Assemblyman LaMalfa mentioned last night, the Democrat lawyers have descended upon the 4th CD and they are… Read More

Jon Fleischman

FR HOSTS TWO WEEK “DISCUSSION” ON THE FUTURE OF THE GOP

Last Tuesday’s election was a terrible one for the Republican Party nationally. By a wide electoral vote margin, and a sizable chunk of the popular vote, liberal Democrat Barack Obama was elected President. In the U.S. Senate, Republicans lost at least five seats. House Republicans saw their number shrink by 20 seats. Clearly the message being delivered by Obama and Democrats across the country is resonating with a majority of American voters. And it is equally clear that the message of Republicans is clearly not attracting enough votes to translate to electoral victories.

As of today, the Grand Old Party stands at a crossroads. Why is the GOP losing “market share” amongst voters? Have we lost our way? What do we do now? What must the GOP do to once again be the majority party?

These are all critical questions, and must be the central theme for a serious discussion about where the GOP needs to go from… Read More

Meredith Turney

McClintock Still Leading in 4th CD

Two days after the election, and the vote counting continues here in the 4th CD. As of today, Tom McClintock is up 709 votes over Charlie Brown. There are still several thousand absentee and provisional ballots to count and it’s going slowly—election officials want to make sure they count accurately. I’ll post more updates on the vote count as the numbers come in…… Read More

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