Today’s Commentary: Status of the SD 19 Strickland/Jackson Race
I just got off of the phone with Tony Strickland. Needless to say, he is a bit anxious, as this race has ended up being not only the most expensive legislative contest this election cycle, but now it is the closest.
What’s the status of things? Well, FR readers probably know that this sprawling district is mostly in Ventura County, with a big portion of it also being in Santa Barbara County, and a sliver of it is in Los Angeles County.
Generally, Strickland performed better in Ventura County, and Jackson did better (by a slightly larger margin) in Santa Barbara County. In the tiny LA portion, which is up in the very conservative Santa Clarita area, Strickland performed much better.
Today, most of the outstanding absentee ballots in Santa Barbara were counted. The effect of this was to leave Jackson with a roughly 250 vote lead over Strickland. Between remaining absentee ballots and provisional ballots, there are probably around 7,000 votes left to cast in Santa Barbara County.
In Ventura County, it sounds like there are probably somewhere around 50,000 ballots left to count, and it’s really hard to tell what is left in Los… Read More