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DeVore Endorses Harkey for 35th

Ending any speculation that he might enter the race himself, Assemblyman Chuck DeVore announced today that he was supporting Dana Point Councilwoman Diane Harkey for the 35th State Senate seat.… Read More

Dan Schnur

Why the Democrats will over-reach

The Democratic victory dance is now entering its sixth day, and like the riots sweeping France’s cities and suburbs, this anger masked as celebration shows no sign of ebbing. The question that preoccupies Sacramento at the moment, now that Schwarzenegger has adopted a conciliatory approach in the aftermath of last week’s election results, is whether the Democratic legislative leadership will accept the governor’s olive branch, or wrap it around his neck.

The original Democratic response, coming from Democrats and all, seemed to contradict itself. Senator Perata, who shows an occasional and fleeting willingness to separate himself from the public employee unions, talked of peace. Assembly Speaker Nunez, better attuned to their wishes, hinted of continued war. A smart bettor would take war and give the points.

In this arena, warfare usually means passing bills designed to embarrass the governor. So rather than cooperation and compromise, the instinct of many of Schwarzenegger’s foes will be to move legislation to his desk… Read More

Mike Spence

Voting by race??

Los Angeles County is one of those places that regularly holds elections in odd numbered election years. Most of these are school board and water boardelections, but an inceasing number of citieshave consolidated inrecent years.

Adding a special election to the November ballot bringsthree to four times as many voters to the polls than would normally participate. This drives up costs and brings interesting results.

Interestingly enough several Asian-Americanincumbents lost theirelections this November. Did race play a factor? Did high Latino voter turn out have an impact on these low-profile races? See the story here.

The sad fact is race does play a factor in many of these races, whether Asian, Black, Latino etc…

One former Monrovia School Board Member who is white (and of course a liberal)sent an email to friends asking them tocastonly one vote (Bullet Voting) for Clarence Shaw, the only candidate of "non-European" background. Clarence Shaw was the tope vote getter.

Can you imagine the outrage if the email… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Tradewinds, Snorkeling and Fruity Drinks…but no Commentary

There is no commentary today as I enjoy day 4 on the Big Island with the family. Though the news links are updated for today, and click here for the Commentary Week In Review.

Aloha!

Jon… Read More

Jason Cabel Roe

(a)Live from Liberia

Well, I’m back from 10 days of limited electricity and no hot water as an international election observer in malaria-infected Liberia. On October 11, Liberia had their first presidential election since the ousting of President Charles Taylor, the former rebel that staged a coup d’etat of former President Samuel Doe…followed by Doe’s mutilation, torture, and murder. The U.S. and other African leaders demanded Taylor’s resignation in 2003 and he now resides in luxurious exile in Nigeria (where I observed the 2003 presidential elections).

None of the 22 candidates standing for election on October 11 received 50% of the vote and while California voters were considering a slew of initiatives, Liberians were choosing between an illiterate former soccer star and a highly-educated longtime public servant. Which brings me to this writing. I really didn’t think I could find a way to make… Read More

Jon Fleischman

From Hawaii: The Week In Review

As I enjoy my third day here on the Big Island with my parents, it is amazing that I am sitting outside at 4:45am, and the weather is so balmy. There are some people washing down the pool deck who are wondering why there is a guest out here at this hour. Funny, I was wondering the same thing!

Here is the week in Review:

EXCLUSIVE: Dan Schnur – Governor, you win California by being…you! Interview with John Lewis, arcitect of OC’S Measure D defeat. Ken Khachigian – Looking forward (Governor, take some notes).

JON’S DAILY COMMENTARIES: Sunday: The Hollywood Fantasies of Sorkin and Reiner.Read More

Michael Der Manouel, Jr.

I’ve read all of our experts and……

Okay, Schnur, Steinberg, Khachigian, Hewitt. Listen up. I’ve read all of your analysis. I respect your opinions, your knowledge, and your insight.

How do we get 500,000 voters in California to change their mind by next November? Arnold doesn’t get re-elected unless this happens. The same “highly regarded” teachers, firefighters, police officers, and nurses will all be carpet bombing the Governor next year. Does LA County and the cluster of Bay Counties suddenly retreat and vote for the Governor? And if so, exactly why? You say that the boyish Westly and stiff Angelides will be putty in Arnolds hand? Really. We elected a stiff in 1998 named Davis. And do we have the poltical creative talent to pull this off? If so, can you all give me a recent example of a big win that didn’t involve beating the worst Governor in California history with a charismatic celebrity? Let’s try to keep the example within, lets say, the past 15 years.

Do I resign us to defeat? No. But the suggestions and advice I’ve been reading all week don’t add up to 500,000 votes changing their minds, and I don’t have the answer. I… Read More

Jon Fleischman

“Moderate on Social Issues and Conservative on Fiscal Issues” is a Myth, Part I

Greetings once again from the beautiful Big Island of Hawaii. I am here for a week of R&R with my mom and dad, and enjoying every minute of it. Today by the pool, I ran into some folks from San Francisco, who had been here almost a week. I asked them if they had voted in the special election. Their response was a very cynical, "We didn’t think our vote would matter." We all agreed that it was a good thing for all of those darned political tv commericals to be off of the air…

Tonight we had drinks at the beautiful Mauna Kea Hotel before enjoying a nice dinner. Here is a photo of the three of us! "FISCALLY CONSERVATIVE, SOCIALLY MODERATE" IS A MYTH I keep hearing over and over again from folks that the GOP, especially in California, can only win if we present a fiscally conservative, but socially moderate face to the… Read More

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