On Sunday when I last posted on AD77 I missed a few relevant facts in my analysis which I’d be remiss in not posting. Based for the most part on cash on hand, but also on some earlier polling, and the amount of mail in the box, I’d narrowed the race to Dale (Wainio/local), Anderson (Nygren), and Beecham (Coronado). Turns out Beyer (Justin) dropped a fair barrage of mail that I missed in my pile o’ mail, and raised enough money since disclosure to put her campaign as much in the game as any of the other three. So in short this thing is basically a toss-up, with former Santee Mayor Jack Dale perhaps having a marginal lead. If campaigns send me mail, I’ll post the most entertaining of it in my next post.… Read More

Congressman Gary Miller was the speaket today at the San Bernardino Lincoln Club Meeting in Ontario. Gary hails from the Diamond Bar part of Los Angeles and has racked up Most Consevative Voting record from any California Congressman, several years in a row.

Congressman Miller talked about several subjects of interest. Most telling is his view that the Senate bill giving amnesty to illegals is dead in the House. I hope that is true, but a vote killing it would be nice too.

His comments on ANWR were very eye opening.He pointed out that the National Park Service is studying 700,000 acres in the San Gabriel Valley. See article here.And of course land use will beome an issue. The enviros are also trying to put together a wildlife corrider through Whittier , Yorba Linda etc…

Miller find that interesting because there are more oil wells on the surface originally drille in the 1900’s than there will be in the ANWR proposal. Some pristine environment!

Thanks to Marshall Riley, the chief of the SB County Lincoln Club for the invite.… Read More

Today we remember those who have fallen in defense of our nation and for the cause of liberty and freedom.

Care to read comments, or make your own about today’s Daily Commentary?

Just click here to go to the FR Weblog, where this Commentary has its own blog post, and where you can read and make comments.… Read More

Today we remember those who have fallen in defense of our nation and for the cause of liberty and freedom.

… Read More

At my third stop at a Home Depot in Orange County, in a full-scale search for just the right to outdoor lighting for my backyard, I chanced upon FR friend and esteemed political law attorney Dan Reed. Dana was in search of patio furniture.

We talked about the Orange County Sheriff’s race. Dana lamented that he was registered to vote out in Riverside County, and thus could not vote for our great OC Sheriff (my boss) Mike Carona. He also pointed out that he had yet to receive his sample ballot nor his actual ballot. The Riverside Registrar isn’t doing so hot – which Phil Paule has pointed out on this page.

Dana is off to the Firestone retreat soon, to see the sight there. Perhaps he can buy Bob Larkin a sypathy beer – or rather – sypathy Sauvignon Blanc!

Dana found himself a swell patio set, with comfy chairs (I tried one). As for me, well I am off to a fourth HD store. But at least they’ve called ahead and the lighting fixtures I need await me.… Read More

Cash on hand. It’s king right now. And in partisan races, the 3rd house is looking to see who still has the dinero to play in the final few days of the campaign. So I would argue the market drives ‘flubbing’ real COH totals.

Here is a fun game. Find a slate mailer disclosure. Find a candidate who shows a payment. Go back to the candidate’s website and see if the payment is there, or if it is accrued. Hint: in the name of showing more cash on hand there are quite a few that just ‘slipped through the cracks."

Game number 2. Find a candidate. Go back in past records and see how much their political consultant is getting paid every month. Then see if that consultant shows up in the most recent candidate disclosure for April and May. How odd… are consultants suddenly working for free, or did some more bills ‘slip through the cracks."

Bonus game. This requires you be local. Collect each mailing a given candidate mails out before the disclosure due date and pin them to the wall. Look up postage and/or mail house and/or consulting firm payments and see if they match.

Hey, I’ll be the first to admit… Read More

As we close in on the final days of the Democratic primary for Governor, it is becoming quite the pro-tax fest as both Angelides and Westly seek to out-do each other on defining a larger, more expansive role for State Government that their opponent. There are a number of pieces in the news today that analyze the race — an L.A. Times poll now has Angelides and Westly in a dead heat. My take on the race is that Angelides has one thing going for him — I believe that voter turnout on both sides of the aisle will be low. If this is the case, then the core Democratic vote will be made up primary of true liberal believers and union-workers who turnout in all elections. These two groups will tend to favor Phil Angelides, who is a more traditional liberal candidates, and who sports the endorsement of the California Democratic Party. I’ve chosen to highlight the analysis today in the SDUT by veteran political reporter John Marelius — you may want to check it out. FR friend Dan Weintraub has an interesting column in the Sacramento Bee today that highlights one aspect of Governor Schwarzenegger’s budget about which he is unimpressed … Read More

As we close in on the final days of the Democratic primary for Governor, it is becoming quite the pro-tax fest as both Angelides and Westly seek to out-do each other on defining a larger, more expansive role for State Government that their opponent. There are a number of pieces in the news today that analyze the race — an L.A. Times poll now has Angelides and Westly in a dead heat. My take on the race is that Angelides has one thing going for him — I believe that voter turnout on both sides of the aisle will be low. If this is the case, then the core Democratic vote will be made up primary of true liberal believers and union-workers who turnout in all elections. These two groups will tend to favor Phil Angelides, who is a more traditional liberal candidates, and who sports the endorsement of the California Democratic Party. I’ve chosen to highlight the analysis today in the SDUT by veteran political reporter John Marelius — you may want to check it out. FR friend Dan Weintraub has an interesting column in the Sacramento Bee today that highlights one aspect of Governor Schwarzenegger’s budget about which he is unimpressed … Read More