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Jon Fleischman

Will obscure GOP Congressional candidate Impact National Republican efforts?

For those of you who have not been following it, there has been a controversy brewing in Central Orange County where a letter had apparently been sent out to around 14,000 hispanic voters geared towards suppressing hispanic turnout.

The letter, written in Spanish, apprently say in it, "You are advised that if your residence in this country is illegal or you are an immigrant, voting in a federal election is a crime that could result in jail time…"

The letter has set off a formal investigation by the Attorney General’s office, and it is looking very much like the responsible party looks to be Tan Nguyen (to right). Nguyen is the long-shot Republican challenger to Democratic Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez in the 46th Congressional District.

I will draw the attention of FR readers to three blog posts on the Red County/OC Blog website (the definitive source for political news in "The OC") — the… Read More

Dan Schnur

Computing The Schwarzenegger Coattail Index: A Guide to the Downticket Races

by FR State Capitol Correspondent Dan Schnur

[WELCOME BRITONS!]

Some say the world will end in fire, some say in ice. So if you’re a California Democrat contemplating electoral apocalypse and you’ve already reconciled yourself to the idea that Arnold Schwarzenegger is going to be re-elected next month, you’re probably just beginning to confront a downticket dilemma that’s almost as frustrating:

McClintock or Strickland.

If you’re a California Democrat and you’re still mad about the special election, but you’ve come to term with the idea that another four years of Arnold won’t be that bad as long as he continues to compromise with the legislature on everything but taxes and illegal immigration, and you were never that wild about Phil Angelides anyway so it’s time to start thinking about Villaraigosa or Newsom or O’Connell (or Obama or Gore or Hillary), you’ve still got an unpleasant decision to face in the meantime:

Strickland or McClintock.

Of course you’ll vote against both Tom McClintock for… Read More

Strickland within Striking Distance

I have seen the numbers and they were good.

I just got the chance to review the internal polling numbers from the Strickland campaign for Controller. Chiang and Strickland are polling very close.

The numbers also show that no one knows who either of them are, although a more voters know and like Strickland than Chiang.

Here are the numbers from the Oct. 15 – 18 tracking poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies:

Chiang 29% Strickland 26% Never Heard of Chiang 78% Never Heard of Strickland 74% The poll was among 600 likely voters in CA which yields a margin of error of +/-4%. Clearly Strickland is right there.

In such a Democratic state, why is the GOP… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Newspaper Endorsements – Why I generally discount them.

This time of year is the silly season for candidates and their tripping all over each other to parade out their endorsements from newspapers. So I thought I would take a few minutes to share my ten cents about "newspaper endorsements" — which is this.

First and foremost — what IS the endorsement of a newspaper? In almost every case, it means that the editorial board of a newspaper has held some sort of vote and decided to put the good name of that paper behind a particular candidate for office. Who is on an editorial board? Well, to be honest, that varies from paper to paper. But it has been my experience that these are the editorial writers for the paper, and then add for good measure the editorial page director, sometimes it includes columnists, and even the local cartoonist. Decidedly NOT voting on the final decision to endorse a particular candidate are the political reporters from the ‘news’ side of a newspaper, though often the news reporters are invited to come and ‘explain’ the details of a race that they are covering, and answer questions from the editorial board. Of course, the important… Read More

Jennifer Nelson

Will Buck be the surprise win of the year?

The registration numbers and past history tell us that the election for the 18th Assembly District was over when Mary Hayashi won the Democratic primary in June. But this year, the GOP candidate, Jill Buck, is making the general election matter by running a smart campaign that has attracted Republican and Democrat supporters. Even elected Democrats are coming out to publicly support Buck’s campaign for the Assembly. Check out this quote by Dublin Mayor Jane Lockhart (which will be going out on a mailer to district voters): “As a life-long Democrat I look to my party to provide the best candidate. Sometimes that does not happen, and I must step outside my party affiliations and select the best person for the job. Jill Buck is just such a candidate. I know she will work hard to form a bipartisan team in Sa cramento and will represent ALL of the district’sRead More

Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Newspaper Endorsements – Why I generally discount them.

This time of year is the silly season for candidates and their tripping all over each other to parade out their endorsements from newspapers. So I thought I would take a few minutes to share my ten cents about "newspaper endorsements" — which is this.

First and foremost — what IS the endorsement of a newspaper? In almost every case, it means that the editorial board of a newspaper has held some sort of vote and decided to put the good name of that paper behind a particular candidate for office. Who is on an editorial board? Well, to be honest, that varies from paper to paper. But it has been my experience that these are the editorial writers for the paper, and then add for good measure the editorial page director, sometimes it includes columnists, and even the local cartoonist. Decidedly NOT voting on the final decision to endorse a particular candidate are the political reporters from the ‘news’ side of a newspaper, though often the news reporters are invited to come and ‘explain’ the details of a race that they are covering, and answer questions from the editorial board. Of course, the important… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Can you surf the web on your PDA? Request for help.

Our crack team of FR programmers over at Cloudspace have finished their first pass at re-programming the FR’s main page, Commentary page and Blog page to be PDA ‘friendly’ — and I would like to ask any FR readers who use their PDA’s to look at the FR (or who can) to check it out and see how navigation works on these pages of the site, and let me know. Thanks!… Read More

Mike Spence

Why I’m Voting NO on State Supreme Court Justice Carol A. Corrigan

This hopefully will be my last post on Judges (Please stop cheering) I’ve written about why we should vote NO on State Supreme Court Justice Kennard, my picks for LA County Superior Court Seats and how I’m voting on LA’s Appellate judges.

Finally, there is Carol Corrigan. Arnold Schwarzenegger recently appointed her to the State Supreme Court. Corrigan was appointed just after the Susan Kennedy debacle and some were relieved that she was at least registered Republican. Conservatives know that being a Republican isn’t necessarily good. (Souter, Stevens and Ron George here in CA)

Almost immediatelythere signs of some problems. She said the she admired the judicial philosophy of Sandra Day O’Conner. (I would like someone to tell me what that is; to me it is I know better… Read More