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FlashReport Weblog on California Politics

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Tab Berg

McCain wins NJ, CN, and IL; Romney wins MA, Huckabee takes WV, AR, AL

With the early returns rolling in for Super-Tuesday, the race for the White House is reaching full steam.

In the Caucuses in West VA, Huckabee racked up 18 delegates (the balance will be awarded in the May Primary) and won his home state of Arkansas and in Alabama, which apportion their delegates 34 and 48 delegates respectively.

McCain posted wins in the winner-take-all states of New Jersey (52), Delaware (18) and Connecticut (30) and leads in Illinois, which apportions its 70 GOP delegates. McCain is also likely to win in NY (101) and Arizona (53).

Romney won his home state of MA, which apportions its 43 delegates; and is likely to win in Utah, CO, and North Dakota (apportioning 36, 46 and 26 delegates respectively).

Returns from winner-take-all states MT, MO and apportioned states CA, OK, GA, MN, TN and AK will continue to roll in (Alaska reports last for this round), so tons of delegates are still up for grabs.

The largest state in the Union has recieved unprecidented attention from both parties, that alone should revive the… Read More

Brandon Powers

Spin Spin Spin

It was awfully nice of Adam to go to suchlengths yesterday to spin for the newest client of Probolsky Research, but unfortunately the facts just aren’t on his side in this case.

When a candidate has to take a second on his house, and move his money in and out, and in and out of his committee just to make a show of having it, nobody is fooled into believing that he has any intention of spending it.

Plus, a good chunk of the money Neil “raised” can only be spent in the General Election, and his Cash On Hand only shows what it shows because Neil seems to have sat on his debts for quite some time, racking up almost $25,000 in debt.

In fact, upwards of 43% of Neil’s Cash On Hand might as well be Monopoly money, as it’s already owed to someone, can’t be spent in the Primary, or is already owed to a bank somewhere.

And I don’t agree with Adam that Jeff is going to need to “significantly outspend” Neil in order to win, as one wouldn’t need anything larger than a Post-It note to be able to list Neil’s accomplishments, but at this point if it were necessary, he’s already capable of doing so.

Jeff has lived in Orange County… Read More

Barry Jantz

McCain in CA

Fox and CNN call CA for McCain some time ago. But, it’s the apportioned delegate count we’re all interested in…

McCain looks to be carrying every district in the state in the 40-50% range against Romney’s 20-30% range.

CNN election tracker at present has it McCain, 475 delegates, to Romney’s 151. But, that’s with only 11 CA delegates included for McCain. Add to that another 160+ from CA alone, and McCain is nearing the threshold numbers John Lewis indicated this morning (see post) to make this thing virtually inevitable.

Some would say it’s still early. Put a fork in it.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Prospective GOP Delegates May Not Know Their Fate Until Tomorrow

If your name has been submitted by the Romney for President Campaign or the McCain for President Campaign as a prospective delegate for this summer’s Republican National Convention in Minneapolis/St. Paul, you may have a long night and early morning ahead. Over the past few days, we have seen several public opinion polls attempting to gauge who will win the GOP primary here in the Golden State. Some of these surveys show Senator Mccain ahead, others show Governor Romney ahead. Others show that it is neck and neck. The reality is probably somewhere in this range – it will be a tight race. For those who are frustrated about the disparagy of some of the polling results, I would take heed in something my friend and fellow blogger Adam Probolsky (a public opinion pollster by profession) likes to say, "The results of a survey of voters is only as accurate as your ability to try and predict who is likely to actually vote." There are predictions for a record turn out by California voters today. This isn’t surprising since on both sides of the political spectrum, Golden State voters will be actually making a… Read More

Jon Fleischman

VIDEO: Romney Rally In Long Beach

Last night GOP Presidential contender Mitt Romney held a rally in Long Beach. Jonathan with Red County was there — here is some great video footage… … Read More

Jon Fleischman

Bill Simon: The Case For John McCain

I was pretty surprised with Bill Simon, fresh off of his close friend Rudy Giuliani’s campaign, joined the McCain campaign as a senior member of their policy team. So, the onus is now on you, Bill. Good luck.

OK, with that said, Bill Simon makes his case for why YOU should support John McCain:

The Republican Party, both in this state and nationally, is a broad party. There is room in our tent for many views; indeed, the divergence of views is one of our strengths. Let no one, however, interpret this to mean compromise of basic philosophy or that we will be all things to all people for political expediency.” Those words were said by Ronald Reagan almost 40 years ago when he spoke to the California Republican Assembly. They are as true todayRead More

Congressman Doug LaMalfa

Truth Prevailing As Prop 93 Is Failing

Just to follow on Jon’s commentary this morning and the news of today’s Field poll…the one thathas Prop 93 losing at 46% "no" and 33% yes after being 39-39 10 days ago.

2 pieces of mail I’ve received from the "Yes" side have been prominently featuring firefighters on the front side of the mailer,They usethe same font below as the Guv’s piece that Jon mentions as Republican mailer #1. "Limit legislators terms" "Yes on 93" with firefighters pictured above. A shameful effort by 93ers to use the firefighters heroic figure status among the public for this play.

On the back it quotes a past president of the fire chiefs "Yes on 93 means the voices of firefighters on the front lines will be heard when crucial budget decisions are made in Sacramento." Whaaaat? So you’re saying they’re not heard now…and this phony term… Read More

Barry Jantz

Candidate Indictment Part 2: McCain

See Part 1 on Romney in the post below.

Part 2 from man’s man, conservative adventurer Dr. Jack Wheeler on McCain:

HOW THE CLINTONS WILL DESTROY JOHN MCCAIN The number of fellow Senators who think John McCain is psychologically unstable is large. Some will admit it publicly, like Thad Cochran who says, "The thought of his being president sends a cold chill down my spine."

Others relate times when McCain screamed four-letter obscenities right in their faces in the Senate cloak room, like Dick Shelby, Rick Santorum, or Jim Inhofe. "The man is unhinged," one Senator told me. "He is frighteningly unfit to be Commander-in-Chief."

That John McCain is clinically nuts is scary enough. What worries a small group of GOP Senators and Congressmen even more is a deep and dark skeletal secret in McCain’s glorified past to which they are privy, and whichRead More