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Jon Fleischman

The Fleischmans Slip Through The Cracks

Competition in the marketplace creates the best possible scenario for the consumer, but it isn’t perfect.

My wife and I registered to vote last month, on the final possible day, at our new home in South Orange County.

We moved into a district that is “Ground Zero” for Republican legislative primaries. We now live in Senate District 33 where Assemblywoman Mimi Walters and Anaheim Councilman Harry Sidhu are spending vast sums of money to communicate with Republican and DTS voters. We also now live in Assembly District 71 where Corona Councilman Jeff Miller and Rancho Santa Margarita Mayor Neil Blais are in a pitched battle for the Republican nomination.

Clearly two newly registered Republicans would be prime targets as supremely likely voters. Right? WRONG, apparently.

Since registering to vote last month, the Fleischman household has received no mail from candidates. Not from Mimi, or Harry, or Jeff, or Neil.

And these candidates have “top… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Election Returns Online

Check out results on the Secretary of State’s website here.… Read More

Inside the Beltway News — Tuesday

Can’t imagine what other newsworthy events are occurring in California today!

In that case, I’ll be brief:

The Abramoff "matter" continues and coverages recalls a California connection and new earmark troubles as well as a recent plea. From Politico, and the Post.

Garry South pens a column in Politico about the Dem. primary.

Newt’s California tech industry guru is profiled in the Post. Speaking of: the story uses the phrase "the Valley" an offending number of times–does anyone talk like that about Silicon Valley? Interesting work by Newt however.

And, Lou Cannon (now a California resident–Carpenteria, I recall) pens a Reagan-Hillary comparison in the Post… Read More

Jon Fleischman

It’s Election Day – GOP Primary Predictions…

For die-hard FlashReport politicos, I thought I would take a few minutes and walk you through “Jon’s Guide to Republican Primaries” – a “cheat sheet” of sorts – with some predictions on my part on what promises to be a very low turnout election (thanks Fabian!)…

I should add for the vast majority of FR readers who are not “insiders” – this column might be a bit hard to digest. There is a facet of our readership who “lives” this stuff, and will appreciate all of this. They are the intended audience for this piece.

First and foremost, and this may go without saying, there are no incumbents that are up for re-election this year to Congress, Senate or the Assembly who are facing a serious primary challenger. So you can check all of those legislators off of the list.

THE UNCONTESTED (ORRead More

Mike Spence

L.A. County Turnout Dismal

A review of voters found only 8.1% ov voters turned out compared to 19.98% in February. AV votes are down. 249,283 received compared to 393,705 in the Presidential Primary.

This is despite a hotly contested County Supervisor race and several open State Senate and Assembly races.… Read More

Jon Fleischman

Protect Marriage Constitution Amendment Qualifies for November Vote

Today Secretary of State Debra Bowen announced that several more ballot measures have qualified for November, including the Protect Marriage Constitutional Amendment.

Already qualified are:

Human Rights For Poultry More Bonds 1: Children’s Hospitals More Bonds 2: The Superduper Speedy Train (for those actually can use it) Parental Notification before a minor has abortion surgery Sentencing of Non-Violent Offenders Safe Neighborhoods (anti-gang) "Renewable" (Code for More Costly) Energy Requirements

Coming soon is the likely qualification of the Common Cause/Schwarzenegger redistricting measure…

(h/t to Shane G. at the SacBee)Read More

Brandon Powers

Q: What Does A Million Dollars in Mail Buy You?

A: A cartoon like this in your local paper –a pretty clear sign you’ve been able to get your message out.

Read More

Tab Berg

Betting line: non-gambling predictions

OK, just to be clear, this is not internet gambling, just a chance for political prognosticators to dazzles us with their brilliance. Winner does, however, get dinner at Mikuni…

Pick your winner and post in comments (I threw SD 3 for the entertainment of the many who have suffered from a Migden tirade).

Although I am doing a number of SoCal races, I will leave to my fellow bloggers to post a competition there!

CD 4: McClintock/Ose/Terbolizard/Jones

SD 3: Leno/Midgen/Nation SD 12: Denham/Perata (recall)

AD 3: Logue/Horne AD 10: Sander/Hegyi/Sieglock AD 15: Llyod/Kamena/Rau/Wilson

Placer Board of Supervisors: Kranz/Houston

El Dorado Board of Supervisor District 1: Dorr/Knight/Norris/Frentzen El Dorado Board of Supervisor District 2: Nutting/Michelin/Teresi/Dean/ Turnboo/Smiley

Mayor of Sacramento: Fargo/Johnson/Daniel/Eldredge/Jones/Padilla/Strand.

Tie Breaker #1: % Statewide Turnout by party Tie Breaker #2: % of Denham win over recall… Read More