Below you will find an editorial I penned for Investor’s Business Daily today.
Plan Will Save Free Market, Not Destroy It
By REP. JOHN CAMPBELL
This free-market, Milton Friedman devotee, conservative Republican congressman will be voting strongly in favor of the $700 billion bailout for Wall Street. What, you ask? Has the California sun fried my last brain cell?
No. I will vote for this bill because it will likely not cost anything, is not a bailout of anybody and will help every American with a bank account, a job or a retirement plan. It also will save the free market, not weaken it.
Allow me to explain.
The $700 billion figure so often mentioned will not be spent, but actually entirely invested with three different mechanisms to ensure that the taxpayers get all their money back.
First, these "troubled assets" will be purchased at less than the expected net present value of their cash flow. That means taxpayers should make a profit by holding them to maturity.
Second, taxpayers will get warrants to purchase stock in the companies from whom these assets are bought. That is more profit potential if the companies recover.
Third, whoever is president five years from now is required to offer to Congress a proposal to recover from these same companies any net loss incurred by the taxpayers to that point. No investment’s return is certain, but this one looks pretty good. It for sure will not cost anything close to $700 billion over time.
Furthermore, you are not bailing out companies when you buy assets from them at 30%-60% of what they paid for the asset. That’s a bath, not a bailout.
And they should take a bath. They made an investment decision, and it turned out to be a bad one, so they lose money. The purpose of the purchase plan is to create a market where one does not now exist and allow these companies to move that capital back into productive use in the economy. It is not giving them any kind of deal.
If this bill does not pass and Congress does nothing, Wall Street will suffer for sure. But so will everyone with a retirement plan as those values drop precipitously and their nest egg disappears.
Just imagine a whole week of days like Monday. People with bank accounts or money market funds may find their money inaccessible as the debt markets freeze over. And nonfinancial businesses that rely on short-term borrowing to meet payrolls and finance inventory spikes may be unable to get that credit, resulting in layoffs. In short, we all lose, whether we live in Manhattan or Peoria.
So has the free market failed us and that’s why we need the government to take it over in this way?
No again. Free markets work. They are still working. They are rational. But on both sides of any free market transaction are two human beings who are subject to emotional behavior. The market cannot correct for overwhelmingly irrational behavior, whether that behavior is fear and panic or risk-ignoring exuberance.
When the short-term debt of some of the world’s most profitable companies has no buyers, that is evidence of widespread fear bordering on panic. The objective of this bill is to remove the object of that fear, the bad mortgage-backed securities, from the market so that rational behavior will return.
In some ways, this bill is more of a free-market solution than other actions that have been taken. The government will not take over any companies here. Even the warrants will be nonvoting. No one will be compelled to sell the government their assets if they don’t want to.
Even the "reverse auction" process of establishing pricing for the assets, where sellers submit bids to one buyer rather than the other way around, is a market-based pricing method.
Other ideas are out there to correct this problem. I have seen most of them. None has a better chance than this one to stabilize the credit and equity markets. Furthermore, no other plan has the broad base of political support that this plan has from leaders in both parties.
The credit markets in particular are too fragile. We cannot afford the time delay of starting over.
If we do not pass anything, I shudder to think of how bad things might get as that fear turns to full-fledged panic.
If we pass this plan, some banks and other companies will still fail. The world economy will still struggle and have problems for months if not years to come.
But markets will function again, and we will likely avoid the abyss. That will save our free-market economy, not jeopardize it. I hope and pray that at least 217 of my colleagues in the House of Representatives will see it that way on Friday.
Campbell represents California’s 48th congressional district, which includes much of Orange County.
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
Bank robberies are usually thought of through the front door. But it is now obvious that Wall Street and bankers can swipe $700 billion of dollars (oops, $1 trillion with interest on the borrowed money). This money will be scooped out of the productive part of the economy and taxpayers to put in the hands of X#@%*! John Campbell, we’ll remember your advice.
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
Dow down 158 for the day…. thanks for fixing the market John!
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
THIS is why the people threw out the GOP in ’06 and why they’ll go further this year. People are fed up with stuff like this and they will vote for ANY alternative.
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
Hopefully in my lifetime, Americans will march on Washington with pitchforks and torches.
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
This column is disturbing on so many levels. The fact that a supposed “free market conservative Republican” like Mr. Campbell can change his ways so easily after only being in DC for three years is absolutely scary. He’s now become a shill for big government. He’s arguing that the taxpayers will make out like bandits on this deal. Does the Congressman really think that feeding the beast is the answer? We’re talking about a $50 to $60 trillion dollar problem with these toxic derivitives and now $700 billion is gonna solve the problem? Lastly, as I write this, the stock market went from being up almost 300 right after the bailout vote this morning to flat for the day and headed down. I’m so glad the congressman thinks the government is the answer to all our financial problems the nation faces. I will not be supporting him anymore after these votes.
October 3rd, 2008 at 12:00 am
So your argument is this is a great deal for the government? If they invest now they stand to make a ton of money a few years down the road! If there was profit to be made on these assets there would be buyers for them right now. If this was truly a good business deal there would be no need for the government to write the check, private investors would be stepping in to claim the prize. You are giving the big banks a free get out of stupid card. What other businesses do you plan to bailout when they fail due to their own stupidity? When this doesn’t work how much more money will you throw down the rat hole? I live in your district and have voted for you many times, that stops now.