Get free daily email updates

Syndicate this site - RSS

Recent Posts

Blogger Menu

Click here to blog

Jon Fleischman

Term Limits End Run, Another Update

The latest from the man with the numbers in the drama of whether the end-run on term limits will make the February ballot…  From CapWeekly’s Anthony York:

Word is that there is new optimism in the proponents’ camp. The SOS is still expected to get LA today. But then, on Wednesday, the LA Registrar said they would report Thursday.

As a side note, what a week for Conny McCormack. She tangles with Bowen over voting machines, announces her resignation Monday, and then immediately finds herself, once again, in the center of the California political universe. Well, at least the universe off all of us junky wierdos.

Anyway, I asked the Secretary’s office about this new optimism. LA is apparently doing some double-checking of their work. There is also the possibility that other counties can recheck, and revise, their numbers. No other county officials have indicated that revisions are coming, but keep in mind it’s a possibility.

So, that’s the speculation and innuendo. Here are the facts, as they stand now.

From the counties that have reported, proponents have a projected 582,263 signatures with a total validity rate of 70 percent from the counties that have reported. To avoid the full count, they will need a projected 763,790 or higher.

Here are the counties that still have not reported, along with the number of signatures outstanding:

Calaveras: 1,238
Los Angeles: 264,463
Madera: 3,832
Mono: 25
Santa Barbara:  5,607

TOTAL: 275,165

Proponents need a projected 181,527 signatures from those remaining signatures. That would be a rate of 66 percent. Last estimates had Los Angeles coming in around 63.5 percent, but scuttlebutt is they are "revising upward"…

As always, someone please check the math. And feel free to forward…

One Response to “Term Limits End Run, Another Update”

  1. kenc@psyber.com Says:

    Like I said yesterday Jon, the Democrats are in control and honesty and integrity are not in the Democrat lexicon. The numbers will be “revised up” and the Democrats will have all the signitures they need.