The ever informative Target Book just sent one of their “Hot Sheet” emails to subscribers. In it, a fascinating bit that seems to dovetail nicely on Mike Spence’s CRP Reform piece this morning…
The Target Book segmented the results in absentee voting versus Election Day voting. With our $20 million GOTV “juggernaut” in place, let’s take a look at how the votes went down.
In the LG Race:
Among Absentee/Mail voters:
McClintock: 49.5
Garamendi: 44.6
(A 4.9% edge)
As I reported at the time, Tom was up before Election Day hit.
But among Election Day voters:
McClintock: 41.1
Garamendi: 53.1
(A 12% deficit)
16.9% in the LG Race (it was 16.8 in the Gov race). That’s the swing. Something went wrong, and we’d be foolish if serious efforts weren’t made to figure out what did.