Endangered House Democrat Loretta Sanchez of Orange County, according to premiere DC Political Analyst Charlie Cook, is officially flying into the "danger zone" as her re-election, along with that of nine other Democrats around the country, has been shifted in an unfavorable direction. In the case of Sanchez, up to this point, Cook had rated her reelection "likely Democrat" — but as of today, that has been downgraded (or from our perspective, upgraded) to a "lean Democrat."
You can expect Sanchez and the DCCC to try to downplay this to the media (got that, Dena?) while simultaneously trying to shamelessly use it to press for campaign cash.
This reassessment of Sanchez’ chances comes as the campaign of Assemblyman Van Tran swings into high gear — with his fundraising going very well, and his ground operation already at full throttle.
Those familiar with stick shift cards know that you have to put a car that is in reverse into neutral before you can than shift to drive. That is what is going on here. Sanchez has been marching lock-step with the ultra-liberal agenda of President Obama and Speaker Nancy Pelosi. She has been ignoring the moderate, blue collar base of this Central Orange County District. Look for this race to move to "toss up" before Summer’s end…
Loretta Sanchez, since Charlie Cook says you are in the danger zone, we dedicate this clip to you…
August 18th, 2010 at 12:00 am
This would be a good seat for Republicans to pick up. Nothing but good news here.