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Jon Fleischman

Today’s Commentary: Survey: Californians want cuts, NOT TAX INCREASES, to balance state books…

This just in from longtime FR friend Jamie Fisfis over at Chariot Research, a respected public opinion research company from the Bay Area that actually does quite a bit of world all over the globe.  They are just out of the field with some survey data on California issues, and I think that the results are definitely worth looking over in the context of the current debate in Sacramento over how to deal with the financial shortfalls due to chronic overspending.

From Fisfis:

Chariot LLC just completed another statewide omnibus survey and the budget debate was one of our main focuses.  We have fresh budget debate numbers and they are pretty decisive on the issue of how Californians want the crisis solved.

By a 63%-25% margin, Californians believe in spending cuts rather than tax increases to solve the budget crisis – even when education is mentioned specifically.  Among those who prefer spending cuts, 75% hold “strong” opinions.  This all adds up to roughly half (47%) of California strongly opposed to tax increases.  This is a decisive position.  Even among Democrats roughly half (49%) want spending cuts and only 31% want tax increases.  DTS voters prefer spending cuts 69%-21%.

In the event of a budget deal that includes Republicans voting for tax increases, those voting ‘aye’ are staring at daunting numbers back home: 71% of Republicans who want spending cuts instead of tax increases (61% strongly).  Among voters in Republican-held Senate and Assembly Districts, spending cuts beat tax increases approximately 69%-21%.

The government worker furloughs issue is more even, but also polarized.  Voters are statistically tied at 45%-44% favor/oppose government worker pay and benefits sacrifice to balance the budget, and on both sides the opinions are strong ones.

Other issues such as offshore oil drilling (good #’s), approval ratings etc (bad #’s) were also asked.  The first release stage of the survey is available here

As the week goes on we’ll be releasing some fascinating data on fixing the Republican party and 2012 GOP presidential primary preferences.

We’ll look forward to sharing more data from Chariot is it is released.

Care to read comments, or make your own about today’s Daily Commentary?

**There is more – click the link**

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4 Responses to “Today’s Commentary: Survey: Californians want cuts, NOT TAX INCREASES, to balance state books…”

  1. soldsoon@aol.com Says:

    Spare us the drama….this ain’t Ben Hur whipping steeds around the stadium ring….talk is cheap Flash Report junkies….always talk and no action!!!! Yawn.

  2. kenc@psyber.com Says:

    “Even among Democrats roughly half (49%) want spending cuts and only 31% want tax increases.”

    If those 31% want to pay more in taxes, no one is stopping them, just voluntarily send in a little extra. More power to ya! Put your money where your mouth is…. act on what you believe!

  3. bobe@winfirst.com Says:

    Hummm… didn’t I read on the blog, Jon, (many times) that all these surveys and polls are useless unless you know what the question asked was and who the pollster asked their questions of?

  4. jfisfis@chariotresearch.com Says:

    Everything is in the presentation to see, Bob.