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Jon Fleischman

With A “Major Announcement” From Steve Poizner This Morning, The Lid Is Being Lowered On The Coffin Of The Ill-Fated Proposition 93

This morning at a conference room across the street from the State Capitol, advocates in the campaign against Proposition 93 (the Nunez-Perata Term Limits Weakening Measure) will hold a press conference — the star attraction?  California Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner.  While nothing "official" has been announced, we are just hours away from a likely formal commitment from Poizner that he has not only signed the official ballot argument against Proposition 93, but that he will be playing a key role in opposing 93, including a starring role for Poizner’s checkbook.  
 
For those who are unaware, before his entry into politics, the soft-spoken Poizner was very successful as an entrepreneur and inventor in the Silicon Valley.  His company developed some technology that has been incorporated into virtually every cell phone on the planet, and in selling this technology to one of the largest communications firms in the world, Poizner came away with a net worth approaching a billion (with a "b") dollars. 
 
Poizner has already shown a willingness in the past, separate from his own campaign for office, to donate from his personal fortune to assist with statewide ballot measures that support important political reforms.  Back in 2005, Poizner (along with the Governor) was leading the efforts to pass Proposition 77, which would have reformed the way that legislative district boundaries are drawn in California.  While the measure ultimately fell short, it wasn’t due to lack of personal funds that Poizner generously donated to that cause.  The reality is that the state’s public employee unions not only opened their big checkbooks, but in the case of the California Teachers Association they literally mortgaged their headquarters to defeat all of the measures supported by the Governor in that 2005 special election.
 
Poizner’s passion for the pursuit of fair redistricting in California has as part of its origin his own efforts to try and win election to a State Assembly seat on the Bay Area Peninsula where he lives.  This particular seat was drawn specifically to elect a Democrat, and Poizner of course, is a Republican.  Still, Poizner spent a small fortune, investing not only in himself but also in a health voter registration effort.  Still, even the moderate Republican with virtually unlimited financial resources could not overcome the advantage given to his opponent in the unfair lines.
 
After this morning, it may be more difficult to drop the "moderate" moniker on Poizner.  While he certainly is moderate in his temperament, there is nothing moderate about his willingness to take on the legislative power "elite class" in the State Capitol.  There are a lot of reasons why Poizner could argue that standing up to lead the fight against Proposition 93 is a bad idea — including the fact that the very budget of the agency he now runs comes from the state legislature.   Nevertheless, Poizner is apparently going to throw down the gauntlet today, and make it clear that it is the citizens who run this state, and not the "elite class" would would gather power to themselves.
 
Political opponents of Poizner will try to argue that his strong opposition to the Career-Politician Act (as we call 93) is politically motivated, because Poizner is often talked about as a potential GOP candidate for Governor in 2010.  Well, the same people that are already throwing around this allegation are the ones who simply cannot believe that anyone would oppose a measure that weakens term limits.  Believe me, there is a whole class of political "insiders" made up of legislators and the lobbyist-class who long for the days of old, when power-brokers controlled everything, and legislative careers spanned two, three or in some cases even four decades.  Frankly, Poizner stepping up to the plate with a willingness to take on this establishment does help to establish important "maverick" credentials that could help him to run for the state’s top job.  But remember, Poizner’s loaded.  Like, really loaded.  Frankly, he doesn’t need to use ballot measure campaigns to increase his name ID, as he can, at will, take any issue he wants to the people of California, funding such an effort with a mere week’s interest from his Schwab account.  No, stepping up to oppose 93 shows a level of moxie and fortitude that we do not see enough of from our political leaders these days.  I would even call it gutsy.
 
We will of course be letting FR readers know what is said at the press conference later this morning.  But if what we hear is going to happen is, indeed, put into place.  Well, it will make things very difficult for the Yes on 93 campaign.  The folks who want to pass the "Big Lie" measure (as 93 is commonly referred to because of its effort to veil itself as a measure to strengthen term limits while it actually gives most legislators in the Capitol many additional years of potential service) have a big, big problem on their hands.   Just with the ‘earned media’ coverage of the "lifestyle of the rich and infamous" Fabian Nunez, support for the measure has dropped a full ten points (now below the "magic" 50% support mark) — can you imagine what the impact of a well-financed "No" campaign will be, especially given all of the great ammo provided by Nunez’ antics?  Of course, when you combine this with the biggest Achilles Heal of the 93 effort, which is that their support right now (such that it is) comes primarily from uninformed GOP voters…. 
 
It very well could be that when all of California’s great political pundits write about the overwhelming defeat of Proposition 93 this February, that they actually will all look back to November 6, 2007 as the day that the nails were hammered in its coffin.  And holding the hammer?   Steve Poizner.

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