Acclaimed nationally syndicated columnist and GOP political expert Bob Novak had this to say about Congressional District Four (CA) in his latest e-newsletter, as he now rated the district LEANING DEMOCRATIC TAKEOVER
House 2008
California-4: The power vacuum in the House GOP showed itself last week in the announcement by Rep. John Doolittle (R-Calif.) that he will seek re-election while under federal investigation in connection with the Jack Abramoff probe.
Republican leaders had wanted Doolittle, whose home was raided by the FBI and whose staff has been subpoenaed by a federal grand jury (apparently connected to his wife’s work with Abramoff), to step down even though he has not been indicted. When asked recently on the record about Doolittle, Republican House leaders Roy Blunt (Mo.) and Adam Putnam (Fla.) pointedly refused to endorse him.
This spells trouble for GOP hopes to hold onto this seat in a very Republican district. Doolittle’s insistence on running again leaves only two possible outcomes: Doolittle as the nominee or an ugly GOP primary. Both of these situations could tilt the race towards the Democratic candidate.
Retired Air Force officer Charlie Brown (D) held Doolittle under 50% last year and came within three points of unseating the congressman. Brown, who was boosted by MoveOn.org and bankrolled by Democrats nationwide, has recently announced he will run next year. Once again, he will be well funded, and his name recognition will be high.
A squadron of Republicans has lined up to challenge Doolittle or run if he drops out. State Assemblyman Ted Gaines (R), Iraq war veteran Eric Egland (R) and 2006 primary candidate Mike Holmes (R) are all running, and radio host Tom Sullivan (R) might jump in. With that many candidates attracting the anti-Doolittle vote, Doolittle would have a strong chance of winning the nomination. As his legal woes seem to have worsened since 2006 — and because 2008 may be a worse year for Republicans in California than 2006 was — this one looks like another Democratic pickup. Leaning Democratic Takeover.
September 12th, 2007 at 12:00 am
Why don’t these washington types come up to Placer County?
These pollsters should come here, too.
They must know something everyone here dosen’t with the exception of a handful of malcontents.
Novak is so out of touch he mentions Tom Sullivan, someone who was old news weeks ago.