Garden Grove councilwoman Janet Nguyen won the Special Election for Orange County’s First Supervisorial District.
With all precincts reporting…Janet won by 52 votes.
Consultant: Gilliard, Blanning, Wysocki Pollster: Probolsky Research
[Publisher’s Note: Since I am from Orange County, I will add a couple of thoughts. First and foremost is that it is astounding what a large percentage of the votes in this race went to Vietnamese candidates — ironically, both with the last name, Nguyen (pronounced "win" – hence the title of Adam’s post). Janet Nguyen took 24.2% of the vote, and Trung Nguyen scored slightly less with 24.1% — so over 48% of the votes went to these two candidates. Probably more significantly is that while Janet has a lot to be excited about, ending election day with a 52 vote lead over Trung, Registrar Neal Kelley estimates that there are about 2500 absentee ballot turned in on election day to be counted, as well as around 750 provisional ballots.. Those should all be counted tomorrow, but especially given how these things have gone here in Orange County, Janet may want to want and see how the votes tally… I say she still is the favorite, but as famed Yankee Yogi Berra once said – it’s not over until it’s over!
Our own Adam Probolsky will undoubtedly be fully engaged at this point, as a key strategic advisor to Janet Nguyen, and as an expert on the goings-on in the Register’s office. Methinks he will be down there first thing in the morning! – Flash]
February 7th, 2007 at 12:00 am
As one of the folks who sat through the Harman-Harkey week long recount I was surprised at how little movement there was with post election day ballots. Same with Horton down in San Diego’s AD78, even though the Registrar of Voters down there, Mike Haas, can barely tie his shoes.
This being said, I believe the Democrats and perhaps some Republican groups in this race may have been ‘juicing’ the post election day ballots so perhaps they won’t be the same as election day ballots after all. After all, remember the ‘ballot harvesting’ plan by the Democrats…
It would be interesting to re-start the betting pool now.
February 8th, 2007 at 12:00 am
Probolsky peeked too early for making this post few days ago.
Jon was right to make a “Publisher’s Notation”.
Like the old saying “Don’t count your eggs, before they hatch.”