OK, so who won already?… Anticipating a rather slow Easter Sunday on the FR blog, some of you may be reading this Monday. Either way, I don’t want to keep folks on pins and needles any longer about the winner of the first ever FlashReport "Pick ’em and Win" CD 50 election contest.
You may recall, part one was to select the top four CD 50 Republicans in their order of finish. They were, of course, Bilbray, Roach, Kaloogian and Morrow, like it or not. Four folks nailed the order:
John Dadian, Steve Friar, Mike Johnson and Marc Schaefer. Good going, gentleman.
Tie Break One…pick the percentage for the leading Republican. Yeah, there are like 500 ballots to count, but we’re pretty safe in saying Bilbray’s total is not gonna change more than a fraction. Yet, that makes things a bit problematic if it does change, as you can see by the picks of our remaining top three contestants, against Bilbray’s percentage:
Bilbray Total 15.26%
Marc Shaefer 15.7%
Mike Johnson 15.1%
Steve Friar 15% (Steve, you should’ve given me a tenth or two!)
OK, I’m no mathematician, and I went to public schools, but I can tell you that even if Brian gets 25% of the remaining ballots, it’s not going to amount to a hill of beans in this crazy, mixed-up election. So provisionally (so to speak), with 500 ballots to count, shall I call this thing for Mike Johnson?
Yes, Congratulations, MIKE JOHNSON, for winning the first FlashReport blog contest!
And, if my math skills are off, and I need to come back and award gold medals to the Canadian skaters as well, ok, fine..what do you want for free? But, it does beg a look at how our contestants did on the now unneeded Tie Break Two, picking the percentage for Francine Busby:
Busby Total 43.75%
Marc Shaefer 40.8%
Mike Johnson 45.7%
Steve Friar 44%
Steve, I’m telling you again, if you had given me only ONE TENTH on top of your straight 15% Bilbray guess, you would have gone to the second overtime and nearly nailed this thing across the board! At any rate, I believe Steve Friar and Marc Schaefer need honorable mentions here.
By the way, not very many guessed Busby would get higher than 40%. Besides those already noted, the others were Bill Jenkin (43.3%), Chris Niemeyer (42%), Ray Palmucci (41%), and Doug Haubert (40%).
Enough for today. I hope you all have a blessed Easter.
April 17th, 2006 at 12:00 am
I will be starting my own polling company soon…..
It needs to be stated again. The Hon. Bill Morrow is one of the most honorable men I have ever met. He deserves his title. Thank you for serving my district.