Polling off the wire in Congressional District 50 (802 likely special election voters/Competative Edge Research). For those of you outside Southern California, Competative Edge is legit.
First Ballot:
Busby 33.5% Bilbray 14.8% Roach 7.9% Kaloogian 7.1% Morrow 4.7% Uke 3.6%
Leaning:
Busby 5.3% Bilbray 4.3% Roach 4.3% Kaloogian 2.7% Morrow 2.1% Uke 1.1%
What should concern observers the most is the surprising run-off numbers:
Bilbray 40.9% Busby 38.2%
Roach 35.8% Busby 35.2%
And here’s where it gets interesting…
Busby 43.8% Kaloogian 32%
Busby 40.7% Morrow 35.5%
March 14th, 2006 at 12:00 am
No tabs. No way to tell anything. Wide open race.
March 15th, 2006 at 12:00 am
What’s interesting is that if you add in leaners, Busby gets NO bump in the second ballot. Not surprising for folks who know the district…but probably surprising for her.
March 16th, 2006 at 12:00 am
I saw this from Orr yesterday. What I thought was interesting? funny? pathetic? all of the above? was how even with that predominantly-GOP electorate, the Issa and YR endorsements (respectively) hurt Bilbray and Morrow, and the LaSuer endorsement overwhelmingly hurt Howard. Are GOP voters in that district becoming more independent minded?